Figure 7. Biomathematical predictive model of health outcomes using the actual difference in LDL measured and LDL managed to 130 for KPNW MMP and non-MMP patients. Figure illustrates the difference in health outcomes comparing 5000 secondary-prevention patients treated by the MMP vs 5000 similar non-MMP patients. According to the calculations in this biomathematical model, improvement in MI and life years becomes evident in about two years (24 months). With large statistical fluctuations, these improvements continue to grow as time passes. The model predicts that over a ten-year period (120 months), the MMP program (as compared to the non-MMP) will decrease the number of MIs by about 92 (± 50) and increase the number of life years by about 90 (± 50). There was no defined difference in death at ten years, but the decrease is within statistical fluctuations. Biomathematical Modeling by: Leonard Schlessinger, Manager of Biomathematical Analysis, CMI